MathIsimple

Probability Theory – Problem 4: Compute , where is a real number and is a non-negative integer;\\

Question

The random variable YY follows an exponential distribution with parameter λ\lambda. Let [y][y] denote the greatest integer not exceeding yy, and define the random variables X=Y[Y], Z=[Y]X = Y - [Y],\ Z = [Y].\\ (1) Compute P(Xx,Z=n)P(X \le x, Z = n), where xx is a real number and nn is a non-negative integer;\\ (2) Determine the distributions of XX and ZZ;\\ (3) Discuss the independence of XX and ZZ.

Step-by-step solution

Step 1. Identify the variable ranges and event relationships.

Since YY has an exponential distribution with parameter λ\lambda, its density is fY(y)=λeλy,y>0.f_{Y}(y)=\lambda e^{-\lambda y},\quad y>0.

Let [Y][Y] denote the floor function (the greatest integer not exceeding YY). Then Z=[Y],X=Y[Y].Z=[Y],\quad X=Y-[Y].

Observe that: ZZ takes values in the non-negative integers n=0,1,2,n=0,1,2,\dots; for every sample point, 0X<10\le X<1; and Y=Z+XY=Z+X.

Step 2. Rewrite the event {Xx,Z=n}\{X\le x,Z=n\} in terms of YY.

The event Z=nZ=n means Z=nnY<n+1.Z=n\Longleftrightarrow n\le Y<n+1.

When Z=nZ=n, we have X=YnX=Y-n, so Xx, Z=n{nY<n+1,Ynx{nY<n+1,Yn+x.X\le x,\ Z=n \Longleftrightarrow \begin{cases} n\le Y<n+1,\\ Y-n\le x \end{cases} \Longleftrightarrow \begin{cases} n\le Y<n+1,\\ Y\le n+x. \end{cases}

Therefore {Xx,Z=n}={nYmin(n+1,n+x)},\{X\le x,Z=n\} =\{n\le Y\le \min(n+1,n+x)\}, and we must consider separate cases depending on the value of xx.

Step 3. Case analysis according to the range of xx.

Case 1: x0x\le 0.

Here the requirement Xx0X\le x\le 0 contradicts X0X\ge 0, so P(Xx,Z=n)=0,x0.P(X\le x,Z=n)=0,\quad x\le 0.

Case 2: 0<x<10<x<1.

Since n+x<n+1n+x<n+1, the integration interval is [n,n+x][n,n+x], giving P(Xx,Z=n)=P(nYn+x)=nn+xλeλydy.P(X\le x,Z=n) =P(n\le Y\le n+x) =\int_{n}^{n+x}\lambda e^{-\lambda y}\,dy.

Evaluating the integral: nn+xλeλydy=[eλy]y=ny=n+x=eλneλ(n+x)=eλn(1eλx).\int_{n}^{n+x}\lambda e^{-\lambda y}\,dy =\left[-e^{-\lambda y}\right]_{y=n}^{y=n+x} =e^{-\lambda n}-e^{-\lambda(n+x)} =e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda x}\big).

Hence P(Xx,Z=n)=eλn(1eλx),0<x<1.P(X\le x,Z=n) =e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda x}\big),\quad 0<x<1.

Case 3: x1x\ge 1.

Since X[0,1)X\in[0,1), the condition XxX\le x is automatically satisfied when x1x\ge 1, so {Xx,Z=n}={Z=n}.\{X\le x,Z=n\}=\{Z=n\}.

Therefore P(Xx,Z=n)=P(Z=n)=P(nY<n+1)=nn+1λeλydy.P(X\le x,Z=n)=P(Z=n) =P(n\le Y<n+1) =\int_{n}^{n+1}\lambda e^{-\lambda y}\,dy.

Computing this yields nn+1λeλydy=eλneλ(n+1)=eλn(1eλ).\int_{n}^{n+1}\lambda e^{-\lambda y}\,dy =e^{-\lambda n}-e^{-\lambda(n+1)} =e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big).

Hence P(Xx,Z=n)=eλn(1eλ),x1.P(X\le x,Z=n) =e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big),\quad x\ge 1.

Step 4. Summary of Part (1).

For any real number xx and non-negative integer nn, P(Xx,Z=n)={0,x0,eλn(1eλx),0<x<1,eλn(1eλ),x1.P(X\le x,Z=n) = \begin{cases} 0,& x\le 0,\\[4pt] e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda x}\big),& 0<x<1,\\[4pt] e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big),& x\ge 1. \end{cases}

Step 5. Determine the distribution of ZZ.

We have P(Z=n)=P(nY<n+1)=nn+1λeλydy=eλn(1eλ),n=0,1,2,.P(Z=n)=P(n\le Y<n+1) =\int_{n}^{n+1}\lambda e^{-\lambda y}\,dy =e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big),\quad n=0,1,2,\dots.

Thus the probability mass function of ZZ is P(Z=n)=(1eλ)eλn,n=0,1,2,.P(Z=n)=\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big)e^{-\lambda n},\quad n=0,1,2,\dots.

This is a geometric distribution (supported on {0,1,2,}\{0,1,2,\dots\}) with parameter 1eλ1-e^{-\lambda}.

Step 6. Determine the distribution function of XX.

For x<0x<0, since X0X\ge 0, P(Xx)=0,x<0.P(X\le x)=0,\quad x<0.

For 0x<10\le x<1, by the law of total probability, P(Xx)=n=0P(Xx,Z=n).P(X\le x) =\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}P(X\le x,Z=n).

Using the formula from Step 3 (for 0<x<10<x<1; the value at x=0x=0 is also 00, which is consistent), P(Xx,Z=n)=eλn(1eλx),P(X\le x,Z=n) =e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda x}\big), we obtain P(Xx)=n=0eλn(1eλx)=(1eλx)n=0eλn.P(X\le x) =\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda x}\big) =\big(1-e^{-\lambda x}\big)\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}e^{-\lambda n}.

Since the geometric series satisfies n=0eλn=11eλ,\sum_{n=0}^{\infty}e^{-\lambda n} =\dfrac{1}{1-e^{-\lambda}}, it follows that P(Xx)=1eλx1eλ,0x<1.P(X\le x) =\dfrac{1-e^{-\lambda x}}{1-e^{-\lambda}},\quad 0\le x<1.

For x1x\ge 1, since X<1X<1 almost surely, P(Xx)=1,x1.P(X\le x)=1,\quad x\ge 1.

In summary, the distribution function of XX is FX(x)=P(Xx)={0,x<0,1eλx1eλ,0x<1,1,x1.F_{X}(x)=P(X\le x) = \begin{cases} 0,& x<0,\\[4pt] \dfrac{1-e^{-\lambda x}}{1-e^{-\lambda}},& 0\le x<1,\\[8pt] 1,& x\ge 1. \end{cases}

Step 7. Determine the density function of XX.

For 0<x<10<x<1, FXF_{X} is differentiable, and the density is fX(x)=ddxFX(x)=λeλx1eλ,0<x<1.f_{X}(x)=\dfrac{d}{dx}F_{X}(x) =\dfrac{\lambda e^{-\lambda x}}{1-e^{-\lambda}},\quad 0<x<1.

For all other xx, the density is 00: fX(x)={λeλx1eλ,0<x<1,0,otherwise.f_{X}(x) = \begin{cases} \dfrac{\lambda e^{-\lambda x}}{1-e^{-\lambda}},& 0<x<1,\\[4pt] 0,& \text{otherwise}. \end{cases}

This shows that XX follows a truncated and renormalized exponential distribution on [0,1)[0,1).

Step 8. Summary of Part (2).

ZZ is a discrete random variable with distribution P(Z=n)=(1eλ)eλn,n=0,1,2,.P(Z=n)=\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big)e^{-\lambda n},\quad n=0,1,2,\dots.

XX is a continuous random variable supported on [0,1)[0,1) with density fX(x)=λeλx1eλ,0<x<1.f_{X}(x)=\dfrac{\lambda e^{-\lambda x}}{1-e^{-\lambda}},\quad 0<x<1.

Step 9. Compute P(Xx)P(Z=n)P(X\le x)P(Z=n).

We know that P(Z=n)=eλn(1eλ).P(Z=n)=e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big).

We compare the product of the marginals with the joint probability for each range of xx:

If x0x\le 0, then P(Xx)=0P(X\le x)=0, so P(Xx)P(Z=n)=0.P(X\le x)P(Z=n)=0.

If 0<x<10<x<1, then P(Xx)=1eλx1eλ,P(X\le x)=\dfrac{1-e^{-\lambda x}}{1-e^{-\lambda}}, and therefore P(Xx)P(Z=n)=1eλx1eλ×eλn(1eλ)=eλn(1eλx).P(X\le x)P(Z=n) =\dfrac{1-e^{-\lambda x}}{1-e^{-\lambda}} \times e^{-\lambda n}(1-e^{-\lambda}) =e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda x}\big).

If x1x\ge 1, then P(Xx)=1P(X\le x)=1, so P(Xx)P(Z=n)=P(Z=n)=eλn(1eλ).P(X\le x)P(Z=n) =P(Z=n) =e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big).

Step 10. Compare with P(Xx,Z=n)P(X\le x,Z=n) and conclude.

From Step 4, P(Xx,Z=n)={0,x0,eλn(1eλx),0<x<1,eλn(1eλ),x1.P(X\le x,Z=n) = \begin{cases} 0,& x\le 0,\\[4pt] e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda x}\big),& 0<x<1,\\[4pt] e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big),& x\ge 1. \end{cases}

Comparing, we see that for every real number xx and every non-negative integer nn, P(Xx,Z=n)=P(Xx)P(Z=n).P(X\le x,Z=n)=P(X\le x)P(Z=n).

Since the joint distribution factors completely into the product of the marginal distributions, we conclude that X and Z are independent.X \text{ and } Z \text{ are independent.}

QED.

Final answer

1. For any real number xx and non-negative integer nn, P(Xx,Z=n)={0,x0,eλn(1eλx),0<x<1,eλn(1eλ),x1.P(X\le x,Z=n) = \begin{cases} 0,& x\le 0,\\[4pt] e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda x}\big),& 0<x<1,\\[4pt] e^{-\lambda n}\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big),& x\ge 1. \end{cases}

2. Distribution of ZZ: P(Z=n)=(1eλ)eλn,n=0,1,2,.P(Z=n)=\big(1-e^{-\lambda}\big)e^{-\lambda n},\quad n=0,1,2,\dots.

3. Distribution of XX: fX(x)={λeλx1eλ,0<x<1,0,otherwise.f_{X}(x) = \begin{cases} \dfrac{\lambda e^{-\lambda x}}{1-e^{-\lambda}},& 0<x<1,\\[4pt] 0,& \text{otherwise}. \end{cases}

4. XX and ZZ are independent.

Marking scheme

The following rubric is based on the official solution.


1. Checkpoints (Total: 7 points)

Part (1): Computation of the joint probability P(Xx,Z=n)P(X \le x, Z = n) (3 points)

  • Integration interval and event reformulation: For the non-trivial case 0<x<10 < x < 1, correctly reformulating the event {Xx,Z=n}\{X \le x, Z = n\} as {nYn+x}\{n \le Y \le n+x\} (or writing the corresponding integral nn+x\int_n^{n+x} \dots). (1 point)
  • Core integral computation: Correctly obtaining the probability expression eλn(1eλx)e^{-\lambda n}(1 - e^{-\lambda x}) for 0<x<10 < x < 1. (1 point)
  • Completeness/boundary cases: Correctly stating that the probability equals eλn(1eλ)e^{-\lambda n}(1 - e^{-\lambda}) when x1x \ge 1 (including the case x0x \le 0 yielding 00; credit is awarded even if only the x1x \ge 1 result is given). (1 point)

Part (2): Marginal distribution computation (2 points)

  • Distribution of ZZ: Explicitly providing the probability mass function P(Z=n)=(1eλ)eλnP(Z=n) = (1 - e^{-\lambda})e^{-\lambda n} (either by identifying it as a geometric distribution or by writing the formula directly). (1 point)
  • Distribution of XX: Using the law of total probability to sum the joint probabilities (the derivation must reflect the geometric series summation n=0eλn=11eλ\sum_{n=0}^\infty e^{-\lambda n} = \frac{1}{1-e^{-\lambda}} or an equivalent integration procedure), yielding the distribution function FX(x)=1eλx1eλF_X(x) = \frac{1-e^{-\lambda x}}{1-e^{-\lambda}} or the corresponding density. (1 point)

Part (3): Discussion of independence (2 points)

  • Verification of the independence criterion: Explicitly demonstrating that the joint distribution equals the product of the marginal distributions, i.e., verifying P(Xx,Z=n)=P(Xx)P(Z=n)P(X \le x, Z=n) = P(X \le x)P(Z=n) for all values of the variables. (1 point)
  • Conclusion: Clearly stating that XX and ZZ are independent. (1 point)
  • *Note: If the factorization is not verified and the student merely invokes the memoryless property of the exponential distribution to assert independence, only this 1-point conclusion credit is awarded.*

Total (max 7)


2. Zero-credit items

  • Merely copying the definitions of X,Y,ZX, Y, Z or the exponential density from the problem statement without performing any derivation.
  • In Part (2), only writing down the defining integral or summation (e.g., P(Z=n)=P(Z=n)=\int \dots) without evaluating it to obtain a concrete result.
  • In Part (3), answering only the word "independent" with no supporting reasoning or computation.

3. Deductions

*The maximum single-item deduction principle applies; the minimum score for any part is 0.*

  • Computational errors: Algebraic mistakes in integration, differentiation, or series summation (e.g., sign errors, missing factor of λ\lambda): -1 point per occurrence.
  • Missing domains/variable ranges: Failing to specify the range of the variables in the final result (e.g., n=0,1,n=0,1,\dots or 0<x<10 < x < 1): -1 point (deducted at most once across the entire problem).
  • Circular reasoning: Assuming the independence of XX and ZZ in the course of computing the joint or marginal distributions in Parts (1) and (2) (e.g., directly writing P(X,Z)P(X,Z) as a product to carry out the computation), resulting in a logical circularity: the total score for this problem is capped at 3 points (credit is given only for correctly computed marginal distributions within this portion).
Ask AI ✨