MathIsimple

Stochastic Processes – Problem 26: Prove that is also a Gaussian process, and find for

Question

Let {Bt:t0}\{B_{t}:t\geqslant0\} be a Gaussian process. Define Xt=BttB1X_{t}=B_{t}-tB_{1} for 0<t<10<t<1. Prove that XtX_{t} is also a Gaussian process, and find cor(Xt,Xs)\mathrm{cor}(X_{t},X_{s}) for 0<t,s<10<t,s<1.

Step-by-step solution

Step 1. Prove XtX_t is a Gaussian process. By definition, a stochastic process is Gaussian if every finite-dimensional distribution is multivariate normal. Since {Bt}\{B_t\} is Gaussian, for any times t1,,tnt_1,\dots,t_n and t=1t=1, the vector (Bt1,,Btn,B1)(B_{t_1},\dots,B_{t_n},B_1) is jointly normal. Each Xtk=BtktkB1X_{t_k} = B_{t_k} - t_k B_1 is a linear combination of BtkB_{t_k} and B1B_1. The vector (Xt1,,Xtn)(X_{t_1},\dots,X_{t_n}) is a linear transformation of the jointly normal vector (Bt1,,Btn,B1)(B_{t_1},\dots,B_{t_n},B_1). Since linear transformations preserve multivariate normality, (Xt1,,Xtn)(X_{t_1},\dots,X_{t_n}) is jointly normal. Hence {Xt}\{X_t\} is a Gaussian process.

Compute the mean: E[Xt]=E[Bt]tE[B1]=0E[X_t] = E[B_t] - tE[B_1] = 0.

Compute the covariance: Cov(Xt,Xs)=E[(BttB1)(BssB1)]\mathrm{Cov}(X_t, X_s) = E[(B_t - tB_1)(B_s - sB_1)] =E[BtBs]sE[BtB1]tE[B1Bs]+stE[B12]= E[B_tB_s] - sE[B_tB_1] - tE[B_1B_s] + stE[B_1^2].

Using E[BuBv]=min(u,v)E[B_uB_v] = \min(u,v) and E[B12]=1E[B_1^2]=1, with s,t(0,1)s,t \in (0,1): Cov(Xt,Xs)=min(t,s)stts+st=min(t,s)st\mathrm{Cov}(X_t, X_s) = \min(t,s) - st - ts + st = \min(t,s) - st.

Compute the correlation: Var(Xt)=tt2=t(1t)\mathrm{Var}(X_t) = t - t^2 = t(1-t), Var(Xs)=s(1s)\mathrm{Var}(X_s) = s(1-s). cor(Xt,Xs)=min(t,s)stt(1t)s(1s)\mathrm{cor}(X_t, X_s) = \frac{\min(t,s) - st}{\sqrt{t(1-t)s(1-s)}}.

Final answer

QED. min(t,s)stt(1t)s(1s)\frac{\min(t, s) - st}{\sqrt{t(1-t)s(1-s)}}

Marking scheme

1. Checkpoints (max 7 pts total)

Proving XtX_t is a Gaussian process (2 pts)

  • Identify that (Xt1,,Xtn)(X_{t_1},\dots,X_{t_n}) is a linear transformation of the multivariate normal vector (Bt1,,Btn,B1)(B_{t_1},\dots,B_{t_n},B_1). [additive, 1 pt]
  • Cite "linear transformations of multivariate normal vectors remain multivariate normal" (or equivalent characteristic function argument) to conclude XtX_t is Gaussian. [additive, 1 pt]

Computing the covariance function (3 pts)

  • Set up Cov(Xt,Xs)\mathrm{Cov}(X_t,X_s) or E[XtXs]E[X_tX_s] and correctly expand into terms involving E[BuBv]E[B_uB_v]. [additive, 1 pt]
  • Substitute E[BuBv]=min(u,v)E[B_uB_v] = \min(u,v) and E[B12]=1E[B_1^2]=1 (correctly handling E[BtB1]=tE[B_tB_1]=t and E[BsB1]=sE[B_sB_1]=s since t,s<1t,s<1). [additive, 1 pt]
  • Simplify to obtain Cov(Xt,Xs)=min(t,s)st\mathrm{Cov}(X_t,X_s) = \min(t,s) - st. [additive, 1 pt]

Computing the correlation coefficient (2 pts)

  • Correctly compute Var(Xt)=t(1t)\mathrm{Var}(X_t) = t(1-t) (either independently or by setting s=ts=t in the covariance). [additive, 1 pt]
  • Give the correct final expression min(t,s)stt(1t)s(1s)\frac{\min(t,s)-st}{\sqrt{t(1-t)s(1-s)}} (or the equivalent piecewise form). [additive, 1 pt]

Total (max 7)


2. Zero-credit items

  • Merely copying the definition of a Gaussian process without connecting it to the specific linear construction of XtX_t.
  • Merely listing the generic correlation formula ρ=Cov/(σxσy)\rho = \mathrm{Cov}/(\sigma_x\sigma_y) without computing expectations.
  • Assuming BtB_t is a general Gaussian process without using standard Brownian motion properties (E[Bt]=0E[B_t]=0, Cov(Bs,Bt)=min(s,t)\mathrm{Cov}(B_s,B_t)=\min(s,t)).

3. Deductions

  • Imprecise logic: Writing only tstt - st in the final result without stating tst \le s or the min\min function: -1 pt.
  • Calculation error: Arithmetic mistakes in expectation expansion, variance computation, or algebraic simplification: -1 pt.
  • Property misuse: Incorrectly assuming E[BtB1]=1E[B_tB_1] = 1 or other violations of the t<1t<1 condition: -1 pt.
  • Maximum deduction rule: deductions for the same logical chain apply only once; total score cannot go below 0.
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