Question
Let be a continuous-time stochastic process. Give reasonable definitions for to be strictly stationary and wide-sense stationary. Let be a Poisson process with intensity , and . Prove that is both strictly stationary and wide-sense stationary.
Step-by-step solution
Step 1. Give the definitions of strict stationarity and wide-sense stationarity. A stochastic process is called strictly stationary if for any positive integer , any time points , and any time shift , the random vectors and have the same joint distribution. A stochastic process is called wide-sense stationary (or second-order stationary) if it satisfies three conditions: 1. Finite second moments: for all ; 2. Constant mean function: for all ; 3. The autocovariance function depends only on the time lag , not on the starting time .
Step 2. Prove that is strictly stationary. The Poisson process has stationary increments, meaning for any and , the increment depends only on the time interval length , following a Poisson distribution with parameter . For , this is exactly an increment over an interval of length 1. The shift preserves all interval lengths (all equal to 1) and the relative positions (overlap lengths) of the intervals . Since the Poisson process has stationary independent increments, the joint distribution is invariant under the shift. Hence is strictly stationary.
Step 3. Prove that is wide-sense stationary. First verify finite second moments: , so . The mean is constant: . For the autocovariance, let . If , the intervals and are disjoint, so and are independent and . If , decompose into independent increments: , where , , are mutually independent. Then . The covariance for and otherwise depends only on , not on . Hence is wide-sense stationary.
Final answer
(1) Strict stationarity: for any , and have the same distribution. Wide-sense stationarity: finite second moments, constant mean, autocovariance depends only on the time lag. (2) QED.
Marking scheme
The following is the rubric based on the official solution.
1. Checkpoints (max 7 pts total)
- Definitions (2 pts) [additive]
- Strict stationarity definition: Correctly state that for any , any time points and any shift , the random vectors and have the same joint distribution. (1 pt)
- Wide-sense stationarity definition: Correctly list three conditions: (1) ; (2) constant mean; (3) autocovariance depends only on . (1 pt)
- *If the finite second moment condition is omitted, this point is 0.*
- Proof of Strict Stationarity (2 pts) [additive]
- Use stationary increments: State that the Poisson process has stationary increments (or that increment distributions depend only on interval length). (1 pt)
- Joint distribution invariance: Argue that the joint distribution of is determined by interval lengths and relative overlap, which are preserved under time shift. (1 pt)
- Proof of Wide-sense Stationarity (3 pts)
- Score exactly one chain:
- Chain A: Direct Calculation [additive]
- Verify moments and mean: Verify (constant) and . (1 pt)
- Covariance structure analysis: Set up , identifying disjoint (, independent) and overlapping () cases. (1 pt)
- Computation conclusion: Derive the correct covariance expression ( for ) or show it depends only on . (1 pt)
- Chain B: Implication Theorem [additive]
- Verify moments and mean: (1 pt)
- Cite theorem: Explicitly state "a strictly stationary process with finite second moments is necessarily wide-sense stationary." (2 pts)
- Total (max 7)
2. Zero-credit items
- Defining strict stationarity using only one-dimensional marginals.
- Confusing (increment) with (counting process).
- Claiming dependence on only "by inspection" without independence analysis or overlap computation.
3. Deductions
- -1: Algebraic error in covariance computation yielding a result containing .
- -1: In Chain B, not verifying before using the implication.
- -1: Confusing notation and causing unclear exposition.