Master probability distribution families, exponential family theory, and their applications in statistical inference and data modeling
Core probability distributions essential for statistical modeling and inference
P(X=k) = C(n,k)p^k(1-p)^(n-k)
Parameters: n ∈ {1,2,3,...}, p ∈ (0,1)
P(X=k) = (λ^k e^(-λ)) / k!
Parameters: λ > 0 (rate parameter)
f(x) = (1/(σ√(2π))) exp(-(x-μ)²/(2σ²))
Parameters: μ ∈ ℝ (mean), σ > 0 (standard deviation)
f(x) = 1/(b-a) for a ≤ x ≤ b
Parameters: a < b (interval endpoints)
f(x) = λe^(-λx) for x > 0
Parameters: λ > 0 (rate parameter)
Specialized distributions derived from fundamental ones, essential for statistical inference
f(x) = (λ^α/Γ(α)) x^(α-1) e^(-λx)
Parameters: α > 0 (shape), λ > 0 (rate)
f(x) = (1/(2^(n/2)Γ(n/2))) x^(n/2-1) e^(-x/2)
Parameters: n ≥ 1 (degrees of freedom)
f(t) = Γ((n+1)/2)/(√(nπ)Γ(n/2)) (1+t²/n)^(-(n+1)/2)
Parameters: n ≥ 1 (degrees of freedom)
f(x) = Γ((m+n)/2)/(Γ(m/2)Γ(n/2)) m^(m/2)n^(n/2) x^(m/2-1)/(n+mx)^((m+n)/2)
Parameters: m,n ≥ 1 (degrees of freedom)
f(x;θ) = c(θ) exp{∑Qⱼ(θ)Tⱼ(x)} h(x)
Normalizing function depending only on parameter θ
Ensures probability density/mass integrates to 1
Natural parameter functions
Transform original parameters to canonical form
Sufficient statistic functions
Capture all information about θ from the data
Base measure function independent of θ
Provides reference measure for the distribution
c(μ,σ²) exp{(μ/σ²)x - (1/2σ²)x²} h(x)
Natural parameters: η₁ = μ/σ², η₂ = -1/2σ²
Sufficient statistics: T₁(x) = x, T₂(x) = x²
c(p) exp{ln(p/(1-p)) · x} h(x)
Natural parameters: η = ln(p/(1-p))
Sufficient statistics: T(x) = x
c(λ) exp{ln(λ) · x} h(x)
Natural parameters: η = ln(λ)
Sufficient statistics: T(x) = x
Understanding how different distributions connect and derive from each other
Real-world scenarios demonstrating distribution family applications
Factory produces items with 2% defect rate, inspecting batches of 100 items
Electronic components with exponential lifetimes, λ = 0.001 failures/hour
Comparing treatment effects in small samples with unknown variance
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Point Estimation