Question
Given that is a Gaussian process, define , where . Prove that is also a Gaussian process, and find , .
Step-by-step solution
Step 1. Prove that is a Gaussian process. Since is a Gaussian process, for any time points and , the random vector follows a multivariate normal distribution. The random variable is a linear combination of and . For any , is a linear transformation of the multivariate normal vector . Since multivariate normal distributions are preserved under linear transformations, is also multivariate normal. This proves is a Gaussian process.
Compute the mean: . Compute the covariance: . Compute the variance: . The correlation coefficient is: .
Final answer
QED.
Marking scheme
The following is the rubric for this problem.
1. Key Checkpoints (max 7 pts total)
Proving is a Gaussian process (2 pts)
- Identify as a linear transformation of the multivariate normal vector [1 pt].
- Cite that linear transformations preserve multivariate normality [1 pt].
Computing the covariance function (3 pts)
- Correctly expand into terms involving [1 pt].
- Use and for substitution [1 pt].
- Obtain the correct result [1 pt].
Computing the correlation coefficient (2 pts)
- Correctly obtain [1 pt].
- Give the correct final expression [1 pt].
Total (max 7)
2. Zero-credit items
- Merely copying the Gaussian process definition without using the linear structure of .
- Merely listing the correlation coefficient formula without computation.
3. Deductions
- Logical imprecision (-1): Losing meaning in the final result.
- Computational error (-1): Arithmetic errors.
- Property misuse (-1): Incorrectly assuming .