MathIsimple

Stochastic Processes – Problem 49: Prove that is also a Gaussian process, and find ,

Question

Given that {Bt:t0}\{B_{t}:t\geqslant0\} is a Gaussian process, define Xt=BttB1X_{t}=B_{t}-t B_{1}, where 0<t<10<t<1. Prove that XtX_{t} is also a Gaussian process, and find cor(Xt,Xs)cor\left(X_{t},X_{s}\right), 0<t,s<10<t,s<1.

Step-by-step solution

Step 1. Prove that XtX_t is a Gaussian process. Since {Bt}\{B_t\} is a Gaussian process, for any time points t1,,tnt_1, \dots, t_n and t=1t=1, the random vector (Bt1,,Btn,B1)(B_{t_1}, \dots, B_{t_n}, B_1) follows a multivariate normal distribution. The random variable Xt=BttB1X_t = B_t - t B_1 is a linear combination of BtB_t and B1B_1. For any t1,,tn(0,1)t_1, \dots, t_n \in (0, 1), (Xt1,,Xtn)(X_{t_1}, \dots, X_{t_n}) is a linear transformation of the multivariate normal vector (Bt1,,Btn,B1)(B_{t_1}, \dots, B_{t_n}, B_1). Since multivariate normal distributions are preserved under linear transformations, (Xt1,,Xtn)(X_{t_1}, \dots, X_{t_n}) is also multivariate normal. This proves {Xt}\{X_t\} is a Gaussian process.

Compute the mean: E[Xt]=E[Bt]tE[B1]=0\mathbb{E}[X_t] = \mathbb{E}[B_t] - t \mathbb{E}[B_1] = 0. Compute the covariance: Cov(Xt,Xs)=E[XtXs]=min(t,s)st\text{Cov}(X_t, X_s) = \mathbb{E}[X_t X_s] = \min(t, s) - st. Compute the variance: Var(Xt)=t(1t)\text{Var}(X_t) = t(1-t). The correlation coefficient is: cor(Xt,Xs)=min(t,s)stt(1t)s(1s)\text{cor}(X_t, X_s) = \frac{\min(t, s) - st}{\sqrt{t(1-t)s(1-s)}}.

Final answer

QED. min(t,s)stt(1t)s(1s)\frac{\min(t, s) - st}{\sqrt{t(1-t)s(1-s)}}

Marking scheme

The following is the rubric for this problem.


1. Key Checkpoints (max 7 pts total)

Proving XtX_t is a Gaussian process (2 pts)

  • Identify (Xt1,,Xtn)(X_{t_1}, \dots, X_{t_n}) as a linear transformation of the multivariate normal vector (Bt1,,Btn,B1)(B_{t_1}, \dots, B_{t_n}, B_1) [1 pt].
  • Cite that linear transformations preserve multivariate normality [1 pt].

Computing the covariance function (3 pts)

  • Correctly expand Cov(Xt,Xs)\text{Cov}(X_t, X_s) into terms involving E[BuBv]E[B_u B_v] [1 pt].
  • Use E[BuBv]=min(u,v)E[B_u B_v] = \min(u, v) and E[B12]=1E[B_1^2]=1 for substitution [1 pt].
  • Obtain the correct result min(t,s)st\min(t, s) - st [1 pt].

Computing the correlation coefficient (2 pts)

  • Correctly obtain Var(Xt)=t(1t)\text{Var}(X_t) = t(1-t) [1 pt].
  • Give the correct final expression [1 pt].

Total (max 7)


2. Zero-credit items

  • Merely copying the Gaussian process definition without using the linear structure of XtX_t.
  • Merely listing the correlation coefficient formula without computation.

3. Deductions

  • Logical imprecision (-1): Losing min(t,s)\min(t,s) meaning in the final result.
  • Computational error (-1): Arithmetic errors.
  • Property misuse (-1): Incorrectly assuming E[BtB1]=1E[B_t B_1] = 1.
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