MathIsimple

Stochastic Processes – Problem 7: Prove that can be expressed as the difference of two nonnegative martingales

Question

Let {Yn,Fn,n1}\{Y_{n},\mathcal{F}_{n},n\geq1\} be a martingale with EYnK,n1E|Y_{n}|\leq K,n\geq1, where KK is a constant. Prove that YY can be expressed as the difference of two nonnegative martingales.

Step-by-step solution

Step 1. Define Mn=E[Y+Fn],Nn=E[YFn]M_n = E[Y_\infty^+ \mid \mathcal{F}_n], \quad N_n = E[Y_\infty^- \mid \mathcal{F}_n] where YY_\infty is the L1L^1 limit of YnY_n as nn \to \infty (by the L1L^1-bounded martingale convergence theorem, the martingale converges to some YL1Y_\infty \in L^1).

Step 2. Since supnEYnK<\sup_n E|Y_n| \le K < \infty, by Doob's martingale convergence theorem, there exists a random variable YL1Y_\infty \in L^1 such that YnYY_n \to Y_\infty a.s. and in L1L^1. Moreover, Yn=E[YFn]Y_n = E[Y_\infty \mid \mathcal{F}_n].

Step 3. Let Mn=E[Y+Fn],Nn=E[YFn].M_n = E[Y_\infty^+ \mid \mathcal{F}_n], \quad N_n = E[Y_\infty^- \mid \mathcal{F}_n]. Clearly Mn,NnM_n, N_n are nonnegative martingales. Furthermore, Yn=E[YFn]=E[Y+YFn]=MnNn.Y_n = E[Y_\infty \mid \mathcal{F}_n] = E[Y_\infty^+ - Y_\infty^- \mid \mathcal{F}_n] = M_n - N_n.

Step 4. Verification: Mn,NnM_n, N_n are martingales since they are sequences of conditional expectations. Nonnegativity follows from Y+0Y_\infty^+ \ge 0 and Y0Y_\infty^- \ge 0, giving Mn0M_n \ge 0 and Nn0N_n \ge 0. Their difference equals YnY_n.

Thus Yn=MnNnY_n = M_n - N_n is the difference of two nonnegative martingales.

Final answer

QED.

Marking scheme

This rubric is designed strictly according to the official solution (assuming the closed martingale/UI property) and provides a parallel grading chain for the general Krickeberg decomposition method that does not rely on the UI assumption.

1. Checkpoints (max 7 pts total)

Score exactly one chain; take the maximum subtotal among chains; do not add points across chains.

Chain A: Official Solution Path (Based on the closed martingale property of YY_\infty)

  • Existence of the limit: Cite Doob's martingale convergence theorem or use the L1L^1-bounded condition (EYnKE|Y_n| \le K) to state that YnY_n converges to a random variable YY_\infty (a.s. or L1L^1). [1 pt]
  • Closed martingale representation (core step): Write or assert that YnY_n can be represented as the conditional expectation of YY_\infty, i.e., Yn=E[YFn]Y_n = E[Y_\infty \mid \mathcal{F}_n]. [2 pts]
  • Construction of nonnegative components: Using the positive and negative parts of YY_\infty, define Mn=E[Y+Fn]M_n = E[Y_\infty^+ \mid \mathcal{F}_n] and Nn=E[YFn]N_n = E[Y_\infty^- \mid \mathcal{F}_n]. [2 pts]
  • Verification and conclusion: Verify the following properties and draw the conclusion: (1) Mn,NnM_n, N_n are martingales (by properties of conditional expectation); (2) Mn,Nn0M_n, N_n \ge 0 (from Y±0Y_\infty^\pm \ge 0); (3) Yn=MnNnY_n = M_n - N_n. [2 pts, additive]

Chain B: General Krickeberg Decomposition (Based on the limit construction from Yn+Y_n^+)

  • Submartingale property: State that Yn+Y_n^+ is a submartingale. [1 pt]
  • Construction of the dominating martingale (core step): Define Mn=limkE[Yn+k+Fn]M_n = \lim_{k \to \infty} E[Y_{n+k}^+ \mid \mathcal{F}_n] (or take supk\sup_k), and state that this limit exists due to L1L^1 boundedness. [3 pts]
  • Verification of MnM_n: Show that the constructed MnM_n is a martingale. [1 pt]
  • Construction of NnN_n and nonnegativity: Define Nn=MnYnN_n = M_n - Y_n, use MnYn+M_n \ge Y_n^+ (or the submartingale property) to prove Nn0N_n \ge 0 and that it is a martingale, thereby completing the decomposition. [2 pts]

Total (max 7)

2. Zero-credit items

  • Simple algebraic decomposition: Only writing Yn=Yn+YnY_n = Y_n^+ - Y_n^- and claiming Yn+,YnY_n^+, Y_n^- are martingales (in fact they are typically submartingales), receives 0 pts.
  • Unsupported assertion: Only restating the problem conditions or claiming "by the Krickeberg decomposition theorem the conclusion holds" without any concrete construction process, receives 0 pts.
  • Symbol accumulation: Listing general properties of E[YFn]E[Y|\mathcal{F}_n] without applying them to the specific YY_\infty or construction process in this problem, receives 0 pts.

3. Deductions

  • Logic gap (Limit Gap): If using Chain A but not mentioning the convergence of YnY_n or Doob's theorem before using YY_\infty, deduct 1 pt.
  • Notational error: Confusing conditional expectation E[Fn]E[\cdot \mid \mathcal{F}_n] with full expectation E[]E[\cdot], or omitting the σ\sigma-algebra Fn\mathcal{F}_n, deduct 1 pt.
  • Incomplete process: Completing the definition of Mn,NnM_n, N_n but entirely failing to mention/verify either their "nonnegativity" or "martingale property," deduct 1 pt.
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